The 2026 Midterms, by the Numbers

What the night decided

On November 3, 2026, American voters settled the contests this site had tracked for more than a year. The Democrats won control of the United States Senate and the United States House, and they took a majority of the nation's governorships for the first time in more than fifteen years (Wikipedia tally of Associated Press calls, November 10, 2026). The count in Alaska's Senate race was still running on this update date under the state's ranked-choice rules, so one seat remained open (Washington Post results, November 2026).

The numbers are now on the boards. The four US Political Rank election boards, Senate, Governor, House districts, and battleground states, have been rebuilt from forecast to result, scored by what happened rather than by what the raters expected.

The seats that changed party

At least six Republican-held Senate seats flipped to the Democrats: North Carolina, Maine, the Ohio special, Texas, Iowa, and Kansas, and the Democratic nominee also won the South Carolina special (CBS News, November 2026; Ballotpedia, November 2026). On the governor map, six Republican-held offices flipped to the Democrats: Texas, Iowa, Georgia, Nevada, Ohio, and Alaska, and no Democratic-held state on the board flipped the other way (MultiState, November 2026). In the House, Democrats won the majority and carried every one of the twenty most competitive districts US Political Rank was tracking, sixteen of them flips (NBC News, November 2026).

The firsts, measured by the same ruler

The results produced a long list of firsts across both parties, and the house rule is to report them the same way. In Florida, Republican Byron Donalds became the first Black Republican elected governor in United States history, and in Georgia, Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms became the first Black woman elected governor of any state (CBS News Miami, November 2026; NBC News, November 2026). In Texas, Democrat James Talarico became the first Texas Democrat to win a Senate race since 1988, and in Kansas, Democrat Adam Hamilton became the first since 1932 (The Texas Tribune, November 3, 2026; Ballotpedia, November 8, 2026). Aaron Ford in Nevada and David Crowley in Wisconsin became the first Black governors of their states (Washington Post results, November 2026; PBS NewsHour, November 2026).

The margins

The flipped Senate seats ranged from close to decisive. Iowa landed at about four points, the Ohio special at about five, Kansas at about five, Maine at about eight, Texas at about twelve, and North Carolina at about twenty, the widest of the flips (Ballotpedia, November 2026; Wikipedia, 2026 United States Senate election in North Carolina, November 2026). Republicans held where the map favored them, including the Florida Senate special at about three points and the Kentucky open seat at about twelve (Ballotpedia, November 5, 2026; Wikipedia, 2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky, November 2026).

What is still open, and where to read it

Alaska is the one contest this site will not call. Its ranked-choice count runs toward the middle of the month, and no winner had been projected, so no winner is recorded (Washington Post results, November 2026). A claim of victory is not a result, and a count is not finished until the state says it is.

Every race above is scored and sourced on the boards: the 2026 Senate races, the 2026 governor races, the most competitive House districts, and the battleground states. After every cycle this site grades its own pre-election expectations against the outcome, in public, and that review is underway.