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Twenty States Are Already Mailing Midterm Ballots With 44 Days to Go

Bloomberg reported Saturday that 20 states are mailing ballots and that early in person voting began Friday in Virginia, Idaho, Minnesota, and South Dakota. Election Day remains November 3.

By Timothy E. Parker · September 20, 2026 · 4 min read · Analysis

Early vote calendar markers cited Saturday

count
States already mailing ballots 20States joining mail wave in 15 days 13Early in person states Friday 4Days to Election Day Sunday 44

What Saturday put on the calendar

With 44 days left until Election Day on November 3, Bloomberg reported Saturday that 20 states are already mailing midterm ballots to voters, including hard fought Senate contests in Texas, Michigan, and North Carolina (Bloomberg, September 19, 2026). Early in person voting started Friday in Virginia, and voters in Idaho, Minnesota, and South Dakota began casting absentee ballots in person the same day, according to the Center for Election Innovation and Research as cited in that wrap (Bloomberg, September 19, 2026; Associated Press, September 18, 2026).

Thirteen more states are scheduled to join the mailing wave within the next 15 days (Bloomberg, September 19, 2026). Tens of millions of Americans will have already cast ballots before November 3. That is not a prediction about who wins. It is a published calendar fact about how America votes when mail and early windows open on schedule.

The Court order that kept the mail pipe open

Saturday's early vote wrap sits on top of a Supreme Court decision earlier in the week that rejected a Trump administration bid to add new Postal Service restrictions on mail ballots for this midterm (Associated Press, September 14, 2026; Bloomberg, September 19, 2026). Mail ballots have accounted for roughly a third of recent national turnout in standard Election Assistance Commission summaries cited across this month's coverage. Blocking a late rewrite of those rules kept existing processes in place for the states now putting envelopes in the mail.

President Trump has continued other efforts to reshape election administration, including court fights over voter data and federal reviews of voter rolls, even after the mail ballot loss (Associated Press, September 18, 2026). Those fights are separate from the Saturday mailing count. Score the Court order. Score the 20 state mailing list. Leave the certified majorities to the canvass.

The national temperature next to the early vote

Bloomberg's Saturday account put Democrats near a nine point lead on RealClearPolitics' generic congressional ballot average (Bloomberg, September 19, 2026). Separate Friday trackers had RealClearPolitics near Democrats plus 8.6, Silver Bulletin near plus 7.5 to plus 8.2 depending on the likely voter adjustment, and Forbes summarizing the same Democratic spike against low presidential approval (Forbes, September 18, 2026; Silver Bulletin, September 18, 2026). House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries said Thursday that Democrats now hold the advantage on every issue in the cited polling, pointing to the economy, health care, and the war in Iran (Bloomberg, September 19, 2026).

A generic ballot is a national mood instrument, not a Speaker. Early ballots are completed actions. US Political Rank keeps both on the same clipboard next to the ranking of what history says about the 2026 midterm House and the live board of 2026 Senate races. History still shows the president's party losing House seats in most modern midterms. The early vote does not erase that table. It starts filling it.

Redistricting and the six week sprint

Associated Press reporting this week noted that mid decade House redistricting, which accelerated after President Trump urged Texas Republicans to redraw their map, now means about 1 in 10 Americans this fall lives in a different congressional district than in 2024 (Associated Press, September 18, 2026). California and other states followed. The November ballot also includes governor and state legislative races in most states, so the early vote is not only a federal majority fight.

House Speaker Mike Johnson had already sent the House home until after the midterms earlier in the week, cutting the remaining September session short (CBS News, September 16, 2026). The Senate returned for a short September window before its own campaign stretch. The practical picture for Sunday is simple: ballots are moving, members are campaigning, and the instruments that measure chamber odds are updating in public.

What Sunday settles and what stays open

Settled on Sunday's desk: 20 states are mailing midterm ballots with 44 days to Election Day; early in person voting began Friday in Virginia, Idaho, Minnesota, and South Dakota; the Supreme Court left existing mail ballot processes in place for November; national generic ballot averages remain in Democratic territory in the cited wraps; November 3 remains the certification date (Bloomberg, September 19, 2026; Associated Press, September 18, 2026; Forbes, September 18, 2026).

Still open: how large the first wave early vote share will be in Texas, Michigan, and North Carolina; whether October samples confirm or shrink the generic lead; whether any new federal election administration order survives court; and whether deep red defensive spending converts toss ups before early vote share hardens. A country that can mail ballots in 20 states, publish Court orders, and still ask citizens to finish the count on one Tuesday is doing ordinary self government. Publish the calendar. Wait for the canvass.

Generic ballot Democratic leads cited this week (points)

points
RCP approx (Bloomberg Sat) 9RCP (Forbes Fri) 8.6Silver Bulletin LV adj 8.2Silver Bulletin headline 7.5

Settled process versus open outcomes

score
Mail process left in place by Court 1Twenty state mailing underway 1House majority certified -1Senate majority certified -1

Sources

  1. Bloomberg, Midterm voting starts in key states with election 44 days out, September 19, 2026 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-09-19/midterm-voting-starts-in-key-states-with-election-45-days-out
  2. Associated Press, Early voting begins in U.S. midterm elections that could flip control of Congress, September 18, 2026 https://apnews.com/live/trump-mail-voting-midterms-kennedy-center-news-updates-09-18-2026
  3. Forbes, Which Party Will Win Congress In The Midterms? Polls Show Democrats With Stronger Advantage, September 18, 2026 https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2026/09/18/which-party-will-win-congress-in-the-midterms-polls-show-democrats-with-stronger-advantage/
  4. Silver Bulletin, Generic Congressional Ballot tracker, September 18, 2026 https://www.natesilver.net/p/generic-ballot-average-2026-nate-silver-bulletin-congress-polls
  5. CBS News, House cancels votes, cutting week short before adjourning until after midterms, September 16, 2026 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/house-cancels-votes-adjourning-midterms/
  6. Associated Press and CNBC coverage of Supreme Court mail ballot ruling, September 14 to 15, 2026 https://www.cnbc.com/elections/
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Citation (copied to clipboard):Parker, T. E. (2026). Twenty States Are Already Mailing Midterm Ballots With 44 Days to Go. US Political Rank. https://uspoliticalrank.com/articles/early-voting-twenty-states-forty-four-days-september-2026
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