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California 14 Votes Today to Fill One of Four House Vacancies

Polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific. Democrats Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez face off after a June 16 top two primary. About 52,000 ballots were already cast. The seat is deep blue. The Clerk still lists three other empty House chairs.

By Timothy E. Parker · August 18, 2026 · 4 min read · Analysis

California 14 special primary, June 16, 2026

percent of vote
Aisha Wahab 42.8Melissa Hernandez 16.8Rakhi Israni 12.9Wendy Huang 9.2

What is on the ballot today

On Tuesday, August 18, 2026, voters in California's 14th Congressional District choose between State Sen. Aisha Wahab and Bay Area Rapid Transit Board President Melissa Hernandez in a special general election (California Secretary of State; Associated Press via PBS NewsHour, August 17, 2026). Both are Democrats. The seat opens after former Rep. Eric Swalwell resigned in April 2026 (Ballotpedia; Clerk of the House). Polls close at 8 p.m. Pacific, 11 p.m. Eastern (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour).

The June 16 top two primary sent Wahab and Hernandez forward after Wahab took 42.8 percent (52,901 votes) and Hernandez took 16.8 percent (20,704 votes) of 123,539 total ballots (Ballotpedia; New York Times results cited by Ballotpedia). No candidate cleared a majority. California's rule advances the top two finishers regardless of party. That arithmetic made today's ballot an all Democratic runoff in a district where Democrats held 50.4 percent of registration against 17.6 percent Republican as of the October count cited by the Associated Press (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour).

The early ballot count already on the table

As of the Wednesday before Election Day, about 52,000 ballots had already been cast: about 32,500 from Democrats, about 7,800 from Republicans, and the rest from unaffiliated or third party voters (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour, August 17, 2026). The district had about 423,000 registered voters as of May 2026, including about 210,000 Democrats, about 73,000 Republicans, and about 116,000 with no party preference (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour). Nearly 124,000 people voted in the June 16 special primary. About 276,000 voted in the 2024 general in the same district (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour).

In the June primary, about 98 percent of ballots arrived by absentee delivery in person or by mail (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour). Alameda County's first results dump of the night usually leans on mail ballots, with more mail still left for the next morning. In June the Associated Press first reported results at 11:17 p.m. Eastern, seventeen minutes after polls closed, and the count hit 99.9 percent complete at 7:26 p.m. Eastern on June 18 (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour). That is the operating pattern for tonight, not a projection of who wins.

Money, maps, and what the seat does not change

Outside groups have spent about $4.1 million on the race since mid July, with about $3.7 million spent to benefit Hernandez and just under $400,000 to benefit Wahab, according to Federal Election Commission records cited by the Associated Press (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour, August 17, 2026). United Democracy Project, a super PAC backed by AIPAC, spent $1.2 million in August supporting Hernandez and opposing Wahab. Bold America, which has received funding from United Democracy Project, has spent about $1.7 million since the special primary on the same side (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour). Hernandez has more than doubled Wahab's fundraising and spending, though the two were roughly even in cash on hand at the end of July (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour).

In 2024, Kamala Harris carried the current 14th District with 65.8 percent against Donald Trump (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour). The winner tonight serves the rest of the term under current boundaries through January. Both candidates also compete in the fall under a slightly redrawn map from Proposition 50 for the full term that begins in January 2027 (Associated Press via PBS NewsHour). The partisan outcome of tonight's seat is not competitive on Cook's House board. Cook still lists 19 Toss Ups after the August 13 update (Cook Political Report, August 13, 2026). US Political Rank tracks the seats that can still flip the chamber in its ranking of the most competitive House districts of 2026. California 14 is a vacancy fill, not a Toss Up.

The vacancy ledger after tonight

The Clerk of the House lists California 14 with a special general on August 18, Georgia 13 with a special runoff on August 25, and open vacancies in Florida 20 and Texas 23 without fixed refill dates in the same public vacancy frame (Clerk of the House, View Vacancies; Cook Political Report open seat tracker, August 12, 2026). Georgia's runoff pairs Democrats Marcye Scott (46.8 percent on July 28) and Everton Blair Jr. (36.7 percent) after no candidate won a majority (Ballotpedia). South Carolina's Republican Senate runoff between appointed Sen. Darline Graham (32.7 to 32.8 percent on August 11) and Rep. Ralph Norman (about 24.6 percent) is also August 25, with a debate scheduled tonight in Newberry (New York Times SC results; South Carolina Election Commission; ABC Columbia).

A country that still prints special election calendars, counts mail ballots in public, and refuses to leave House seats empty by appointment is doing ordinary republican work. Tonight Alameda County finishes one square. In seven days Georgia and South Carolina finish two more. Keep the vacancy ledger, the Cook board, and the November 3 midterm on separate lines. That is the receipt from August 18.

Early ballots cast before August 18, by party

ballots (thousands)
Democrats 32.5Republicans 7.8Other or unaffiliated 11.7

Outside spending since mid July, CA14 special

millions of dollars
Benefiting Hernandez 3.7Benefiting Wahab 0.4Total outside 4.1

Sources

  1. Associated Press via PBS NewsHour, Live Results: California special election to replace former Rep. Eric Swalwell, August 17, 2026 https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/live-results-california-special-election-to-replace-former-rep-eric-swalwell
  2. California Secretary of State, Congressional District 14 Special Election https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/upcoming-elections/2026-cd14
  3. Ballotpedia, California's 14th Congressional District special election, 2026 https://ballotpedia.org/California%27s_14th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2026
  4. Clerk of the House, Vacancies of the 119th Congress https://clerk.house.gov/Members/ViewVacancies
  5. Cook Political Report, 2026 CPR House Race Ratings, August 13, 2026 https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings
  6. Cook Political Report, 2026 House Open Seat Tracker, August 12, 2026 https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-charts/2026-house-open-seat-tracker
  7. Ballotpedia, Georgia's 13th Congressional District special election, 2026 https://ballotpedia.org/Georgia%27s_13th_Congressional_District_special_election,_2026
  8. New York Times, South Carolina U.S. Senate Special Primary Election Results https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2026/08/11/us/elections/results-south-carolina-us-senate-special-primary.html
  9. ABC Columbia, GOP Special Primary Runoff set for August 25 between Graham and Norman https://www.abccolumbia.com/2026/08/12/gop-special-primary-runoff-set-for-august-25-between-graham-and-norman/
  10. South Carolina Election Commission, U.S. Senate REP unofficial results https://www.enr-scvotes.org/SC/127017/
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Citation (copied to clipboard):Parker, T. E. (2026). California 14 Votes Today to Fill One of Four House Vacancies. US Political Rank. https://uspoliticalrank.com/articles/ca-14-special-general-election-day-august-2026
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